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By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Accuracy is not guaranteed. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Rev. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. . Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. No products in the cart. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. In the main event, former light Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. 2,. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . Dive in and Share your insights! The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . They consider how much. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. Today those numbers have flipped. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. 11:03 AM. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. The State Of The Polls, 2016. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. . James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. So, the usual. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. 04:58 PM. r/fivethirtyeight. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. robert kraft granddaughter. david senak now. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. No place like 'Nam. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. The Supreme Court Not So Much. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. Transcripts by Erin Wade. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. This is the first episode. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. [00:00:19] They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. A message from Martine. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. Feb. 25, 2021. info. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms.
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